What Percentage of Football Matches End 0-0?

Soccer ball on a football pitch and a 0-0 score

I hate 0-0 draws! I find it much easier to trade football on Betfair when there are plenty of goals flying in.

However, the Betfair exchange relies on differing opinions so that both sides of the book are matched. Therefore, when I'm looking to back goals, I need other football traders to disagree with me and go the other way. We both get our positions matched and the best trader comes out on top.

Personally, I find it very uncomfortable to sit here and hope for goals not to be scored, after all that's the whole point of the game! So if you're one of the traders who backs under 2.5 goals - thank you! I need you, you need me and Betfair needs us both.

0-0 draws impact all traders and a common question I'm asked is, what percentage of football matches end 0-0?

This is very easy for me to answer. 'Team Stats Trends' is one of the tools we have within our football stats database at Goal Profits, which tracks all sorts of stats for every league over the past decade - including 0-0 results.


Average Number of 0-0 Draws

Our 'Team Stats' software covers 45 winter leagues; everything from the English Premier League to the Australian A League.

Of course, we're only interested in leagues which go in-play on Betfair and have enough liquidity for trading in and out of the markets. Some of our 45 leagues have to be ignored on a Saturday afternoon when the likes of the English Premier League and German Bundesliga are sucking up all the market liquidity, but that's to be expected.

Taking all of these leagues into account the average number of matches ending 0-0 during the 2017/18 season was 8.0%.

Here are the seasonal averages over the past decade:

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

2012/13

2013/14

2014/15

2015/16

2016/17

2017/18

8.3%

8.2%

8.0%

8.3%

7.4%

7.8%

8.1%

7.8%

8.0%

8.0%

And here are the biggest European leagues by season over the past decade:

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

2012/13

2013/14

2014/15

2015/16

2016/17

2017/18

English Premier

11.1%

8.4%

6.6%

7.1%

9.2%

7.1%

8.2%

8.4%

7.1%

8.4%

French Ligue 1

10.5%

8.9%

11.6%

7.1%

8.7%

8.4%

8.9%

8.9%

7.7%

5.5%

German Bundesliga

4.9%

9.2%

4.6%

7.2%

6.5%

4.2%

9.2%

7.8%

6.2%

6.9%

Italian Serie A

4.5%

8.2%

8.9%

11.6%

8.9%

6.1%

7.9%

8.2%

5.0%

7.4%

Dutch Eredivisie

5.9%

6.2%

5.9%

3.3%

4.6%

3.9%

5.2%

3.9%

4.2%

4.2%

Spanish Primera

4.7%

8.2%

7.1%

8.7%

6.6%

8.4%

7.9%

6.6%

7.1%

7.4%

By the way... Team Stats also covers more than 20 summer leagues, so there's plenty of football trading action all year round!

What are the Best Leagues for Football Trading in Summer?
There are plenty of summer leagues worth trading once the English Premier League season ends. If you're not taking advantage, you're really missing out!

Is it Worth Laying 0-0?

Betting exchange markets are extremely efficient and all of these stats are taken into account when prices are set.

Unless you are able to identify a clear edge - and take Betfair commission into account - I don't believe that it's possible to make a long-term profit by laying 0-0 as a straight bet.

As you can see above, the same leagues perform differently from season to season and even Barcelona have 0-0 draws now and again. Hit a 0-0 and you will need to find 10, 20 or even 30 winners just to get back to where you started!

Managing your betting bank is vital, so avoid those huge risks.

Espanyol v Barcelona 0-0 draw in the Spanish Primera

What Percentage of Football Matches are Draws?

Perhaps you are interested in all draws, rather than just 0-0. It may be that you have a back the draw strategy, or you like to lay the draw and you need to avoid them at all costs.

Team Stats Trends can easily tell you how many matches end level, on average:

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

2012/13

2013/14

2014/15

2015/16

2016/17

2017/18

25.6%

25.5%

26.6%

26.6%

25.8%

25.7%

26.5%

26.1%

26.1%

25.8%

And even the football leagues with the most (or least) number of draws over the past decade.

Here's the top and bottom ten leagues for the 2017/18 season:

Most Draws

1.

Italian Serie B

34.8%

2.

Belgian First Division B

33.3%

3.

Egyptian Division 1

31.3%

4.

Ukrainian Premier League

30.4%

5.

Greek Super League

30.3%

6.

English National League

29.4%

7.

German 2. Bundesliga

29.1%

8.

Mexican Liga MX

29.0%

9.

Spanish Segunda

28.6%

10.

Polish Ekstraklasa

28.5%

Least Draws

1.

Australian A League

19.4%

2.

Qatari Stars League

19.7%

3.

Portuguese Primeira League

19.9%

4.

Austrian Bundesliga

20.6%

5.

English National League North

21.2%

6.

Swiss Super League

21.7%

7.

Italian Serie A

21.8%

8.

Dutch Eerste Divisie

22.4%

9.

Turkish Super League

22.5%

10.

Spanish Primera

22.6%


Highest and Lowest Scoring Football Leagues

We can also look at the highest and lowest scoring leagues. If you're like me, then it's very useful to know the football leagues with most goals so that you can trade with more confidence. Or if you prefer to be on the other side of the book, then you will be interested in leagues which have fewer goals on average.

For these stats, I like to look at the average number of games which went over 2.5 goals and under 2.5 goals.

Here's the top and bottom ten leagues for the 2017/18 season:

Highest Scoring Leagues

1.

Qatari Stars League

67.4%

2.

Dutch Eerste Divisie

66.1%

3.

Dutch Eredivisie

63.5%

4.

Australian A League

63.3%

5.

UAE Pro League

59.8%

6.

English National League North

57.7%

7.

Turkish Super League

57.5%

8.

Swiss Super League

57.2%

9.

Danish Superligaen

56.5%

10.

English National League South

56.3%

Lowest Scoring Leagues

1.

Greek Super League

37.8%

2.

Argentinian Primera Division

38.9%

3.

Russian Premier League

40.4%

4.

Ukrainian Premier League

40.8%

5.

Egyptian Division 1

41.3%

6.

Romanian Liga 1

42.5%

7.

Spanish Segunda

42.5%

8.

Czech Republic Division 1

43.8%

9.

Russian National League

44.7%

10.

Bulgarian First League

46.3%

7 Football Matches that Broke Records for Most Goals Scored
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9 thoughts on “What Percentage of Football Matches End 0-0?”

    • Hi John

      Sorry for the delayed reply, we had to dig into the database to find the answer for you.

      Out of almost 200,000 games in our database, 41,610 were 0-0 at 60′ and 15,884 of those went on to finish 0-0.

    • I don’t know of any websites which provide that info. Our Team Stats software looks at first goal times and goal scoring/conceding windows, but not in too much detail as goals are fairly random events with regard to timing. You can predict it to some extent, but it’s quite hit and miss.

  1. I was just wondering based on the previous question.
    What percentage of the 200,000 matches on your database were 0-0 at 75 mins?
    How many of them went on to end goaless?

    Thanks.

    • Hi Stephen

      That would take some Excel detective work! I have calculated all sorts of figures before based on first and second halves, but I don’t narrow time down any more than that.

  2. Do you have any statistics on a team having two consecutive 0-0 draws? I’d estimate the chances of that happening to be around 1% at most, assuming matches to be independent events (in statistical terminology)

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