How to Trade Football: Back and Lay Betting Explained

Example of a Betfair screen

Betting exchange trading is possible because you're able to back and lay the same outcome at different points.

As a football trader, you will attempt to predict major events - such as goals - which move market prices in a particular direction. This price movement is what will allow you to back high, lay low (or lay low, back high) in order to lock in guaranteed profits.

Once you understand how backing and laying for profit works, the sky is the limit. A proven football betting system will grow your bank over time and it's even possible to back and lay on Betfair for a living.

First things first though, here is back and lay betting explained step-by-step.

What does Back and Lay Mean?

A traditional bookmaker takes 'back' bets. You back an outcome in a betting market and the bookie pays out if your bet wins.

However, betting exchanges - such as Betfair - allow you to 'back' or 'lay'.

As well as being able to 'back' an outcome, you can also take on the traditional role of the bookmaker and 'lay' it. In other words, your bet wins if the outcome of an event doesn't happen.

For example, let's say you are interested in betting on the winner of the Premier League.

You can see the back and lay odds below:

Betfair market for English Premier League winner

On Betfair, back odds are displayed in blue and lay odds are pink.

In this example, Arsenal are the current favourites to win the Premier League with back odds of 2.48. This means that if you back Arsenal with a £10 stake, your return will be £24.80 (£14.80 profit) if Arsenal go on to win the title.

A lay bet is the exact opposite, so you are betting on something not to happen.

If you lay Arsenal, you are betting on Arsenal not to win the Premier League. If any one of the other 19 teams wins the title, your lay bet wins.

Lay Bet Liability

When placing a back bet, you can never lose more than your stake. However, when you lay a bet, the liability can be a lot more than your stake and you must be fully aware of the risk before placing your bet.

In the Premier League example, Arsenal are 2.48 to back and 2.52 to lay.

If you decide to lay Arsenal for a stake of £10, you will win £10 if any other team but Arsenal wins the Premier League. Just as you stand to lose your stake when backing Arsenal, a lay bet is opposite so you win your stake if Arsenal don't become champions.

If Arsenal do go on to lift the trophy though, your liability will be determined by the lay price and, again, it's the opposite of backing.

In this case, it would be (£10 x 2.52) - £10 = £15.20

Barclays Premier League winner - Betfair market

Backing and laying are simply opposites:

  • Back Arsenal with a stake of £10 at 2.48 to try and win £14.80
  • Lay Arsenal with a liability of £15.20 to try and win £10

When placing a lay bet, your liability is always removed from your account balance as Betfair has to assume the worst case scenario - that you lose your bet. Therefore, you can never risk losing more than the money you already have in your Betfair account.

Once the Premier League winner has been decided, the market will be settled. Bear in mind that you may have a large liability tied up for many months if you get involved in long-term trades.

Lay Bet Calculator

Our bet and lay calculator - also known as 'hedging' - helps you to calculate back and lay stakes quickly and easily in order to lock in profits.

It's free to use and worth adding to your bookmarks. You can even add it to your own website, if you have one!

Free Hedging Calculator: Easily Hedge Trading Profits
Our free hedging calculator works out your back or lay stakes quickly. For example, if you are trading lay the draw and a goal is scored, our hedging calculator will tell you exactly how much to back the draw for so that you end up with equalised profit and the sought after Betfair 'green screen'.

Low Risk Lay Bets

In the example above, laying Arsenal produced a larger liability than the potential profit. However, if you always lay under 2.00 then you will stand to win more than you risk losing and many Betfair laying strategies aim to take advantage of this.

Spend some time watching the Betfair markets and see how prices move - even without goals.

For example, the 0-0 price at kick-off will be a very high price to lay, but by half-time it's often a third of the starting price. This movement is called 'time decay' and it continues all the way to the final whistle unless a goal is scored.

If you're patient, you could lay 0-0 in a game with a team desperately trying to score as time runs out and - rather than risk many times your stake - make sure that the risk/reward is in your favour.

It's much better than sweating on a goal because you couldn't wait to get into the trade and created a huge liability!

Different Types of Football Bets Explained in Full
Here is our handy guide to the different types of football bets. We explain them one by one so that you can start using each bet with confidence.

Lay the Draw Trading

Lay the draw (LTD) has been one of the most popular football trading strategies for many years.

It's a very simple way to get started with Betfair trading and - if you're patient - it can be very low liability. There are plenty of lay the draw strategies to take advantage of at various points during football matches and most professional traders use it a lot.

Lay the Draw Trading: Betfair Trading for Beginners and Pros
Lay the draw trading (also known as LTD) is still one of the most popular ways to trade football on Betfair. Here's everything you need to know to get started today.

Lay Betting Strategy

Making money on Betfair is all about backing and laying at the right times.

For example, at the start of the 2015–16 season, Leicester City were available at a huge price to win the Premier League but their odds were much shorter as they closed in on the title.

Euro 2016 provided a profitable trading opportunity too.

Unsurprisingly, the favourites were the traditional powerhouses of European football - Germany, France and Spain.

Further down the list, however, there were opportunities to back up and coming teams at high prices.

Iceland were one of the major surprises during qualifying, finishing in second place in Group A. As they recorded a string of stunning results during - including wins home and away against the Netherlands - their odds to win Euro 2016 started to steadily drop.

It was a fantastic back-to-lay opportunity, with traders who backed Iceland earlier at odds of 500/1 able to lay at much shorter odds in order to lock in a profit.

Euro 2016 Group A

Iceland drew Portugal, Hungary and Austria in Group F of the Euro 2016 finals, with the top two from the group going through to the next round, as well as the best third-placed team.

It was a test for them, but their fantastic success in qualifying showed how capable they had become at international level in recent years. Greece's historic success at Euro 2004 proved that smaller countries can thrive at the European Championships and, even with the new reorganisation to a 24 team event, Iceland had a chance.

Before the tournament began, Iceland were priced on the Betfair exchange at 100 to win Euro 2016, meaning a £10 back bet on Iceland would have resulted in a profit of £990 should they have taken the title.

Euro 2016 winner market on Betfair

Once Iceland qualified from Group F, their odds dropped substantially, meaning it was then possible to place a lay bet to lock in a good amount of guaranteed profit. After their win against England, their odds came down even further.

List of Betting Exchanges

Smarkets Betting Exchange: An Innovative Rival to Betfair
Betfair takes the crown when it comes to betting exchanges, but the Smarkets Betting Exchange has been a brilliant alternative since launching in February 2010.
Betfair Sportsbook and Exchange: Turning Bets into Trades
The Betfair sportsbook and exchange is essential for matched bettors and professional football traders alike. Discover what makes it the best betting exchange.
BETDAQ Betting Exchange: Can it Challenge Betfair?
The BETDAQ betting exchange set out to challenge Betfair's dominance, but Smarkets and Matchbook have since joined the party. Can Ladbrokes finish the job?
Matchbook Betting Exchange: Cheaper Commission & Reliable
Betfair still leads the way, but the Matchbook betting exchange offers a quality service (with just 1.5% commission) if you're looking to maximise your profits.

Read More about Football Trading

How Does an Accumulator Work? Football Acca Bets Explained
Football accumulators are hugely popular, but how do they work? We explain how football acca bets work and how to calculate accumulator odds.
What Does ‘Draw No Bet’ Mean in Football Betting?
We explain how to take advantage of draw no bet when betting on football matches and in accumulators.
What are the Best Leagues for Football Trading in Summer?
There are plenty of summer leagues worth trading once the English Premier League season ends. If you're not taking advantage, you're really missing out!
Can You Make a Guaranteed Profit From Football Betting?
Is it really possible to make a guaranteed profit from football betting? Matched betting is the best way to build your bank, then you have to search out value bets and/or learn how to trade.
Here are the Best Football Betting Systems that Work
Here is everything you need to know about football betting systems that work, right the way through from matched betting to Betfair football trading.

4 thoughts on “How to Trade Football: Back and Lay Betting Explained”

  1. I can grasp the initial scenario. A £10 back bet on Arsenal at 2.48 would return £10 + £14.80 = £24.80 total return. So the outcome is either win £14.80 or lose £10. I can also see the lay bet at 2.52 would require a lay amount of £15.20 to try and win £10. so the options there is, win £10, or lose £15.20. I understand that if both bets were traded would be a total outlay of £10 +£15.20 = £25.20. with the return of either £24.80 if the back is successful and £25.20 if not. That is, lose 40p, or break even. Subtracting commission on the winning bet would mean that there would result in a definite cash loss.
    But, the Iceland scenario seems to me unfinished. I follow that at back odds of 100, the £10 bet if successful would return £1000, giving £990 profit, but assuming the lay odds eventually fall from 110, how do you determine what they need to drop to, to guarantee a profit? How would you calculate how much you need to ‘win’? What value should the lay liability be?
    Sorry it’s long winded, but it’s a weird thing to a layman. I’m still waiting for the penny to drop! Bob

    • Hi Bob

      The easiest thing to do is go to the market on Betfair and back Iceland for £10 at 100 (don’t hit the ‘confirm’ button!). You can then enter different lay amounts to see the ‘what if’ position. Half an hour playing about with the numbers will give you a great idea of exactly how it all works.


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